Galaxy, Colorado ready for Round 3

Soccer Betting Lines

04/24/2009 - Commerce City, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - When the Colorado Rapids and Los Angeles Galaxy square off in a Major League Soccer fixture on Saturday, they certainly won't be strangers. It will be the third time in all competitions that the two Western Conference clubs have met this month.

The teams kicked off the month with a league fixture on April 4 at The Home Depot Center - which was won by the Rapids - before playing in a U.S. Open Cup qualifier three days later, which was also won by the Rapids.

Now Colorado (2-2-1) will be aiming for the trifecta with Saturday's match at Dick's Sporting Goods Park.

A key to that happening could be striker Conor Casey, who scored all three of the Rapids' goals in the win to open the month. Casey is tied atop MLS with four goals in five games.

"We saw at the end of last season that Conor gets a run of games and he starts to hit the back of the net regularly," Colorado coach Gary Smith said. "Same thing [this year]: good preseason, training regularly, playing regularly, and he's finding the back of the net again. He's a very good center forward not only in this league, but I would imagine, his time in Europe, had it not been for some injuries, might have been more productive."

The Rapids return home after a 1-1-1 road swing that was capped off by a 1-0 loss at Houston.

"I was very pleased with the character and commitment for probably two-thirds of the game," Smith said. "I thought the opening 20 minutes belonged to Houston. That was a little expected giving the way their form had been coming into today. We turned the tables in the second period. It was very exciting. Sadly, that one goal in the opening 20 minutes was enough to see us off."

Not only will the Galaxy be searching for their first win against the Rapids this season, but their first win overall after starting the season 0-1-3. They are coming off back-to-back draws with the latest being 1-1 at San Jose.

"I thought our guys showed a lot of character and some quality at times [against San Jose]," Los Angeles coach Bruce Arena said. "Not only got a point but positioned ourselves to steal it end the end with a chance or two. I was encouraged by our guys effort. We have some young guys who are still learning, but it's all part of the process. I think for the first time going on the road this year it was all right."

The Galaxy will be without defender Leonard Griffin while forward Edson Buddle and midfielder Kyle Patterson are questionable, all with injuries. Defender Todd Dunivant and goalkeeper Donovan Ricketts are both listed as probable with injuries of their own.

The Rapids will probably be without defender Ty Harden, while defender Corey Gibbs, and midfielder Jacob Peterson are questionable, and defender Ivan Guerrero and forward Omar Cummings are probable, all with injuries.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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